Warmer, drier than average winter predicted for Florida

Chris Fuhrmann, a regional climatologist for the Southeast Regional Climate Center, offered the middle’s findings as a part of a month-to-month local weather abstract hosted by collectively by NOAA and the National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS). Data from climate stations in Florida present unseasonably heat temperatures this previous month, with most stations reporting two, three, or 4 levels above regular temperature for this time of 12 months. In the previous two weeks alone, many stations throughout the state have reported 5 or 6 levels above regular.

Precipitation additionally stays below-average, besides for the areas most impacted by Hurricane Nicole. Nicole is just the third Hurricane on file to make landfall in Florida within the state of November and the primary November hurricane to strike Florida in 37 years. Higher-than-average precipitation was noticed particularly alongside the I-4 hall. But the Panhandle, the one a part of the state not impacted by Nicole’s rains, has remained in a state of Severe Drought since early November. Severe Drought situations persist from Escambia County to Levy County.

The nation as a complete is seeing growing drought and dry situations. Since October, the nation is experiencing the best share of abnormally dry situations within the U.S. Drought Monitor’s 22-year historical past, in response to Fuhrmann.

These warmer-than-average, drier-than-average tendencies are anticipated to proceed via February 2023. According to the three-month outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, Florida has a 40-50% probability of above-normal temperatures. There can also be a 40-50% probability the state will expertise below-average precipitation throughout this time interval.

Before these heat and dry situations settle in for the season, Fuhrmann mentioned we should always see a cool and moist Thanksgiving week in Florida.