THE HAGUE, Netherlands — An global arrest warrant for President Vladimir Putin raises the chance of the person whose nation invaded Ukraine going through justice, nevertheless it complicates efforts to finish that battle in peace talks.
Both justice and peace seem to be handiest far flung probabilities lately, and the conflicting dating between the 2 is a catch 22 situation on the middle of a March 17 choice via the International Criminal Court to hunt the Russian chief’s arrest.
Judges in The Hague discovered “reasonable grounds to believe” that Putin and his commissioner for kids’s rights have been accountable for battle crimes, particularly the illegal deportation and illegal switch of kids from occupied spaces of Ukraine to Russia.
As not likely as Putin sitting in a Hague court turns out now, different leaders have confronted justice in global courts.
Former Serbian strongman Slobodan Milosevic, a motive force at the back of the Balkan wars of the Nineties, went on trial for battle crimes, together with genocide, at a United Nations tribunal in The Hague after he misplaced energy. He died in his mobile in 2006 sooner than a verdict could be reached.
Serbia, which desires European Union club however has maintained shut ties to Russia, is likely one of the international locations that has criticized the ICC’s motion. The warrants “will have bad political consequences” and create “a great reluctance to talk about peace (and) about truce” in Ukraine, populist Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic mentioned.
Others see penalties for Putin, and for any individual judged accountable of battle crimes, as the main desired end result of global motion.
“There will be no escape for the perpetrator and his henchmen,” European Union leader Ursula von der Leyen said Friday in a speech to mark the one-year anniversary of the liberation of Bucha, the Ukraine town that saw some of the worst atrocities in the war. “War criminals will be held accountable for their deeds.”
Hungary did not join the other 26 EU members in signing a resolution in support of the ICC warrant for Putin. The government’s chief of staff, Gergely Gulyas, said Hungarian authorities would not arrest Putin if he were to enter the country..
He called the warrants “not the most fortunate because they lead toward escalation and not toward peace.”
Putin appears to have a strong grip on power, and some analysts suspect the the warrant hanging over him could provide an incentive to prolong the fighting.
“The arrest warrant for Putin might undermine efforts to reach a peace deal in Ukraine,” Daniel Krcmaric, an associate professor of political science at Northwestern University, said in emailed comments to The Associated Press.
One potential way of easing the way to peace talks could be for the United Nations Security Council to call on the International Criminal Court to suspend the Ukraine investigation for a year, which is allowed under Article 16 of the Rome Statute treaty that created the court.
But that appears unlikely, said Krcmaric, whose book “The Justice Dilemma,” deals with the tension between seeking justice and pursuing a negotiated end to conflicts.
“The Western democracies would have to worry about public opinion costs if they made the morally questionable decision to trade justice for peace in such an explicit fashion,” he said, adding that Ukraine also is unlikely to support such a move.
Russia immediately rejected the warrants. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Moscow doesn’t recognize the ICC and considers its decisions “legally void.” And Dmitry Medvedev, deputy head of Russia’s Security Council, which is chaired by Putin, suggested the ICC headquarters on the Netherlands’ coastline could become a target for a Russian missile strike.
Alexander Baunov, an analyst with the Carnegie Endowment, observed in a commentary that the arrest warrant for Putin amounted to “an invitation to the Russian elite to abandon Putin” that could erode his support.
While welcoming the warrants for Putin and his commissioner for children’s rights, rights groups also urged the international community not to forget the pursuit of justice in other conflicts.
“The ICC warrant for Putin reflects an evolving and multifaceted justice effort that is needed elsewhere in the world,” Human Rights Watch associate international justice director Balkees Jarrah said in a statement. “Similar justice initiatives are needed elsewhere to ensure that the rights of victims globally — whether in Afghanistan, Ethiopia, Myanmar, or Palestine — are respected.”
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Follow AP’s protection of the battle in Ukraine: https://apnews.com/hub/russia-ukraine
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