Sunday, May 5, 2024

October obliterated temperature records, virtually guaranteeing 2023 will be hottest year on record



This October used to be the hottest on record globally, 1.7 levels Celsius (3.1 levels Fahrenheit) hotter than the pre-industrial moderate for the month — and the fifth straight month with this type of mark in what will now virtually without a doubt be the warmest year ever recorded.

October used to be a whopping 0.4 levels Celsius (0.7 levels Fahrenheit) hotter than the former record for the month in 2019, unexpected even Samantha Burgess, deputy director of the Copernicus Climate Change Service, the European weather company that robotically publishes per 30 days announcements watching world floor air and sea temperatures, amongst different information.

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“The amount that we’re smashing records by is shocking,” Burgess mentioned.

After the cumulative warming of those previous a number of months, it’s virtually assured that 2023 will be the hottest year on record, consistent with Copernicus.

Scientists track weather variables to realize an figuring out of the way our planet is evolving on account of human-generated greenhouse gas emissions. A hotter planet way more extreme and intense weather events like critical drought or hurricanes that hold more water, mentioned Peter Schlosser, vice chairman and vice provost of the Global Futures Laboratory at Arizona State University. He isn’t concerned with Copernicus.

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“This is a clear sign that we are going into a climate regime that will have more impact on more people,” Schlosser said. “We better take this warning that we actually should have taken 50 years ago or more and draw the right conclusions.”

This year has been so exceptionally hot in part because oceans have been warming, which means they are doing less to counteract global warming than in the past. Historically, the ocean has absorbed as much as 90% of the excess heat from climate change, Burgess said. And in the midst of an El Nino, a natural climate cycle that temporarily warms parts of the ocean and drives weather changes around the world, more warming can be expected in the coming months, she added.

Schlosser said that means the world should expect more records to be broken as a result of that warming, but the question is whether they will come in smaller steps going forward. He added that the planet is already exceeding the 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) of warming since pre-industrial times that the Paris agreement was aimed at capping, and that the planet hasn’t yet seen the full impact of that warming. Now, he, Burgess and other scientists say, the need for action — to stop planet-warming emissions — is urgent.

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“It’s so much more expensive to keep burning these fossil fuels than it would be to stop doing it. That’s basically what it shows,” said Friederike Otto, a climate scientist at Imperial College London. “And of course, you don’t see that when you just look at the records being broken and not at the people and systems that are suffering, but that — that is what matters.”

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AP Science Writer Seth Borenstein contributed to this report from Washington.

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Follow Melina Walling on X, previously referred to as Twitter: @MelinaWalling.

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Associated Press climate and environmental coverage receives support from several private foundations. See more about AP’s climate initiative here. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

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