MLB picks, World Series best bets: Props for Ketel Marte, Corey Seager in play for Rangers-Diamondbacks Game 2

Holy smokes, what an implausible World Series Game 1. We noticed the strengths of each groups, some back-and-forth and late-inning drama. What extra may one ask? 

Well, I suppose I may’ve used a Marcus Semien run. I misplaced that play. I did hit, comfortably, the Nathan Eovaldi strikeout prop, on the other hand, and my house run select of Corey Seager got here house. I’m now 33-18 this postseason on legitimate performs, which exclude the house run select. 

Let’s have every other just right day for Game 2. 

Starting pitchers: RHP Merrill Kelly (2-1, 2.65) vs. LHP Jordan Montgomery (3-0, 2.16)

There’s little or no significant information right here. Any particular person matchups are extremely small-sample information units, so we are left striking in combination trained guesses. Hey, we’ve got been gazing those guys very intently for lengthy sufficient to present {that a} shot, although, proper? 

The play: Ketel Marte over 1.5 H+R+RBI (-140) 

Marte has now long gone over 1.5 hits plus runs plus RBI in 10 of his 13 playoff video games this season. I’ve performed the prop two times and ignored it each occasions. I’m sure and decided not to have every other omit right here. He’s on an excessive amount of of a heater not to experience. There’s additionally this: Throughout his occupation, the switch-hitting Marte has been a significantly better hitter from the correct facet towards lefties.  

In Marte’s occupation, he has hit .304 with an .874 OPS towards lefties and .267 with a .763 OPS towards righties. In 2023, he hit .313 with an .879 OPS towards lefties whilst hitting .259 with an .828 OPS towards righties. He will get a lefty in Game 2 to start out and the expectancy this is — particularly after Eovaldi had a shorter day out than they might’ve appreciated — the Rangers stick to him some time. Marte gets 3 appears to be like at him. 

Oh, and as an advantage, Marte is 3 for 6 with a triple in his occupation towards Montgomery. 

The play: Corey Seager over 0.5 BB (+140)

It’s tempting to move larger right here than a stroll prop, however that turns out just like the surest factor at this time. Remember Kelly’s get started in Game 6 of the NLCS the place he grew to become in an excellent day out towards the Phillies. Their two unhealthy early order lefties are Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper. He walked each in the primary and it appeared virtually useful. He sought after to make the righties beat him as a substitute of the lefties. Seager hit .333/.408/.667 towards righties this season, too, with 26 of his 33 homers. 

Bonus house run sprinkle: Adolis García, +235

There’s not anything else in the back of this than the most obvious. He’s homered in 5 immediately video games now. He’s even struck out 4 occasions earlier than hitting a grand slam. He did not hit his house run in Game 1 till the eleventh inning. It simply helps to keep going down and we’d as neatly experience the wave till it subsides.