Trea Turner (once more) and the Phillies were given us off to an enormous get started on Wednesday prior to Alex Bregman and the offenses — most commonly the Dodgers — failed us within the nightcap. The just right news is the Dodgers are not round to debris me up any further. More just right news is after the 2-2 day I’m now 15-9 up to now right here in Best Bets for the playoffs. I additionally hit two of three Wednesday over on SportsLine.
Speaking of which, my motto on SportsLine is “stick with what works.” You know what has been running? Trea Turner, child. I’ve performed his over all 5 video games within the playoffs up to now and he is hit all of it 5 video games.
Braves (-152) at Phillies (+129), 8:07 p.m. ET
Starting pitchers: RHP Spencer Strider (20-5, 3.86) vs. LHP Ranger Suárez (4-6, 4.18)
It’s win or move house for the 104-win Braves, who have been the most efficient workforce within the common season from no matter level within the first part they took the mantle from the Rays. There used to be little disputing from July during the finish of the common season that the Braves have been the highest canine. The Phillies give you the chance to get rid of them in 4 video games right here.
This is similar pitching matchup as Game 1, when Suárez used to be nice however simplest used to be left within the recreation for 3 2/3 innings. Strider threw smartly, however were given no run fortify.
The play: Trea Turner over 1.5 H+R+RBI (+105)
Fortunately it is backtrack to at least one.5, despite the fact that we flew previous the two.5 on Wednesday when he hit his house run (his H+R+RBI general used to be 5).
Turner has long gone over 1.5 hits plus runs plus RBI each unmarried playoff recreation. From the time he resurrected his season (Aug. 5) via those 5 playoff video games, Turner has 72 hits, 46 runs and 43 RBI in 52 video games, a median of three.1 according to recreation in this prop, or two times what we want.
Turner is 0 for 17 in his profession towards Strider and that’ll scare some folks off, however he is making touch. He’s simplest struck out two times towards the Braves’ ace and the ones have been his first two at-bats. He’s had a large number of touch and a few of it exhausting touch towards Strider of overdue. He’ll discover a hollow in Game 4.
In truth, I’ll say he singles, steals 2d after which rankings on a Bryce Harper unmarried within the first inning Thursday.