2023 MLB playoffs: Best bets, picks for NLCS Game 2 Tuesday, with Phillies, Trea Turner continuing hot streaks

Monday used to be a super evening for us, as long as you performed alongside with me. Thanks to the Rangers’ over hitting within the first inning(!), the Phillies’ over hitting within the 3rd and Trea Turner, once more, coming via (additionally within the 3rd inning), we cashed all 3 tickets with no need to sweat them out. 

That runs the tally right here in Best Bets for the playoffs to 19-10. 

Tuesday turns out like a just right day to stick hot. 

Diamondbacks (+141) at Phillies (-165), 8:07 p.m. ET

Starting pitchers: RHP Merrill Kelly (12-8, 3.29) vs. RHP Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.46)

Game 1 felt much more lopsided than the general rating regarded, because the Phillies jumped out to a 5-0 lead sooner than the Diamondbacks climbed again to inside 5-3 and battled overdue. Both of those groups have two frontline beginning pitchers who they want to function workhorses and we get the No. 2s right here. 

The performs: Phillies over 4.5 runs (+110), Trea Turner over 1.5 H+R+RBI (-135), Bryce Harper over 0.5 walks (+100)

Like Zac Gallen in Game 1, Kelly’s street splits are a ways worse than his numbers at house. He had a 4.07 ERA and 1.38 WHIP at the street this season, pushed via top stroll and residential run charges. That’s hassle by contrast Phillies offense. Expect them to leap on Kelly early. They’ve scored 24 mixed runs within the first 4 innings of their seven playoff video games thus far. 

The approach the Phillies are swinging the bats at house, I like their another time. They averaged 5.16 runs consistent with recreation at house within the common season and 5.8 consistent with recreation within the playoffs. 

On Turner, we are 7-0 in this prop with him thus far within the playoffs this means that I’m taking part in it each unmarried recreation till he tells me in a different way. He used to be certainly one of baseball’s freshest hitters within the ultimate two months of the common season and he is now hitting .500/.533/.893 with 5 doubles, two house runs, 3 RBI and 6 runs in seven playoff video games. He’s additionally in that comfortable 2nd spot within the lineup. If you wish to have one thing at the explicit matchup, Turner is 9 for 21 (.429) with 3 doubles and 6 RBI in his occupation towards Kelly. 

As for Harper, I’m now not certain how for much longer groups are going to pitch to him within the postseason. In his ultimate 23 playoff video games, he is hitting .378/.469/.829 with seven doubles, 10 homers and 20 RBI. Plus, Alec Bohm is hitting in the back of him and does not glance in particular frightening at the moment. It’s simple to ascertain a situation the place Turner is on 2nd base and the D-backs elect to simply put Harper on and deal with Bohm. Even if it is not an intentional stroll, Harper attracts a whole lot of walks (8 within the ultimate six video games) whilst Kelly provides lots at the street. All we’d like is one.