- Thunderstorms will start to develop Sunday afternoon.
- The menace of extreme storms will proceed into Sunday night time.
- Damaging winds is the first menace, however massive hail and an remoted twister are additionally doable.
S​evere thunderstorms with damaging winds are anticipated to develop in elements of the Central and Southern Plains Sunday into early Monday.
H​ere’s a better take a look at what to anticipate with this upcoming extreme menace.
S​evere Outlook
A​rea Of Concern: Areas from northern Texas into Oklahoma and Kansas have the very best likelihood of extreme thunderstorms. The likelihood for remoted extreme storms extends into southeastern Nebraska, western Missouri and western Arkansas.
T​hreats: Damaging wind is the primary concern however some massive hail and an remoted twister are additionally doable.
N​ow is an effective time to assessment or type a extreme climate plan. Severe climate can happen year-round however often ramps up in March, adopted by the height months of April, May and June.
T​iming
S​unday: Thunderstorm growth could not happen till late Sunday afternoon and is most certainly in areas proven in crimson on the map under.
A couple of supercell thunderstorms could type within the afternoon and early night earlier than a line of thunderstorms organizes.
S​unday Night: A line of extreme thunderstorms is predicted to push eastward from the night probably into the in a single day.
T​he Setup
A​n space of low stress will emerge within the Plains on Sunday and strengthen because it tracks northeastward. This is identical system that’s now pummeling California. More information about that a part of this technique may be discovered right here.
M​oisture will improve forward of this technique and temperatures will heat into the 60s and 70s, which is able to assist to extend instability.
S​trong winds simply above the floor will distinction with lighter winds on the floor and can be favorable for supercell growth.
T​he components presently look to be favorable for not less than some extreme thunderstorms to type starting late Sunday afternoon.
(​MAPS: Weather And Highs Next 7 Days)
U​nusual Threat For February?
R​ecent extreme climate has primarily focused the Deep South, however Sunday’s menace is a bit farther west in parts of the Plains.
S​evere thunderstorms usually are not as frequent within the central and Southern Plains in February, however can occur.
Usually, the Deep South is at an elevated danger in February due to its proximity to the Gulf of Mexico, the place heat, moist air can surge northward, including to the instability within the ambiance.
(​Deeper Look: February’s Typical Tornado Threat)
In the lighter crimson areas, there’s a 0.1% chance of a twister inside 25 miles of a degree by late February. The darker crimson shading is for areas which have a 0.2% chance of a twister inside 25 miles of a degree by late February. Based on 1982-2011 averages.
(NOAA/Storm Prediction Center)
The Weather Company’s main journalistic mission is to report on breaking climate news, the surroundings and the significance of science to our lives. This story doesn’t essentially signify the place of our mum or dad firm, IBM.
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