Sunday, May 5, 2024

NFL Thanksgiving and Black Friday odds, how to watch, stream: Expert picks, best bets, teasers, survivor pool



You know what is going nice with some turkey? Football! The NFL has a tripleheader on deck for Thanksgiving and, for the primary time ever, will deal with us to a Black Friday recreation as neatly. That’s 4 video games over the two-day vacation stretch earlier than we kick issues into complete equipment on Sunday and Monday. Every a type of video games is a department competition showdown, so the contest will have to be at an all-time top and will function quite a lot of Super Bowl contenders. 

As we do each and every week for all the slate, we have gathered the entire best Thanksgiving and Black Friday choices and playing content material from CBSSports.com and SportsLine. We’ve put them multi functional position, so you’ll be able to get choices towards the unfold from our CBS Sports mavens in addition to further featured content material for every recreation, together with performs from peak SportsLine mavens and the SportsLine Projection Model, best bets from our workforce, survivor choices and extra.  

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All NFL odds by the use of SportsLine Consensus Odds.

Which choices are you able to make with self belief in Week 12? And which Super Bowl contender is going down arduous? Visit SportsLine, as its improbable mannequin simulates each and every NFL recreation 10,000 instances and is up neatly over $7,000 for $100 avid gamers on top-rated NFL choices since its inception.

Time: Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET (Fox), circulate on fubo (try for free) 
Open: Lions -7, O/U 45.5

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Featured Game | Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers

The SportsLine Projection Model has cooked up a Thanksgiving parlay that you’ll be able to unquestionably need to ceremonial dinner your eyes on. The mannequin, which simulates each and every NFL recreation 10,000 instances, is up neatly over $7,000 for $100 avid gamers on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The mannequin entered Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season on a fantastic 174-125 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates to the 2017 season. Now, it is eyeing a parlay that will pay round 12/1. We can inform you that one of the crucial legs is Packers +7.5, however to see the remainder of legs you’ll have to go to SportsLine.

“If you didn’t get to watch the Lions on Sunday — and I’m guessing you didn’t because I’m pretty sure their game was only shown to about 1.3% of the country — they pulled off the most improbable comeback of Week 11. They were trailing by 12 points with three minutes left to play against the Bears and somehow still won. 

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“Sure, it used to be towards the Bears, nevertheless it used to be nonetheless spectacular, and that is how I do know the Lions are other this 12 months. The outdated Lions would have misplaced that recreation by way of 33 issues since the Bears would have come what may scored 3 touchdowns over the overall 3 mins to entire the blowout. But those Lions are so excellent that they have been in a position to sleepwalk thru three- and-a-half quarters and nonetheless win. 

“Speaking of sleepwalking through three-and-a-half quarters, that’s almost always what I used to do on Thanksgiving when the Lions were playing, but now that they’re good, I’ll probably end up watching this entire game.

“After getting that serious warning call towards the Bears on Sunday, I believe just like the Lions are going to roll on this recreation. The greatest factor operating within the Lions’ choose is that they are going to be going up towards a Packers protection this is surrendering 134.7 rush yards in step with recreation this season, which ranks twenty eighth within the NFL. On the turn aspect, the Lions have an offense that ranks 5th general in dashing yards in step with recreation. I believe what I’m attempting to say this is that the Lions would possibly no longer have to throw a unmarried go to beat the Packers, which might be becoming, since I’m beautiful positive that is the identical recreation plan they used to beat the Plymouth Pilgrims after they performed at the first Thanksgiving again in 1621. 

“The last time the Lions started 8-2 came all the way back in 1962 and they improved their record to 9-2 with a Thanksgiving win over the Packers. I see history repeating itself this week. Time is truly a flat circle.” — CBS Sports NFL author John Breech explaining why he has the Lions taking down the Packers, 30-20, on Thanksgiving. To see all of his Week 12 choices, click on right here. 

“It doesn’t look like the Packers will have Aaron Jones for this matchup, which is a massive dent in their overall offense. While Green Bay was able to beat the Chargers at home last week, Jordan Love continues to have me question his consistency and overall ability to keep up with an offense like Detroit’s, especially without his best weapon in Jones. Jared Goff is coming off a three-interception game in Week 11, but the Lions were still able to come out with a win and I expect the quarterback to put together a more sound outing this week. This could also be a strong day for both David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs as they face a Packers run defense that is allowing 4.8 yards per rush on the road (fifth-highest in the NFL).” — CBS Sports NFL author Tyler Sullivan on why he has the Lions taking down the Packers and masking the 7.5-point unfold on Thanksgiving. To see the remainder of his choices, click on right here.

Time: Thursday, 4:30 p.m. ET (CBS), circulate on Paramount+ (click here) 
Open: Cowboys -10.5, O/U 46

Featured Game | Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders

“The reason why I believe that is going to be a blowout is since the recreation is in Dallas and the Cowboys had been blowing out everybody at house. Not handiest are the Cowboys 4-0 at house this 12 months, however they have gained all 4 of the ones video games by way of a minimum of 20 issues. 

“The Cowboys have also won 12 straight home games dating to last year and Dak Prescott hasn’t lost a divisional home game since 2017. THAT WAS SIX YEARS AGO. Since then, he’s won 14 straight divisional games at home, which is the fourth-longest streak in NFL history and if the Cowboys win on Sunday, he’ll move into a tie with Troy Aikman for the third-longest streak ever (Tom Brady has the longest streak at 20 games). Also, Prescott has never lost to Washington at home (he’s 5-0). 

“And let’s no longer disregard about the truth that Sam Howell is probably the most sacked quarterback within the NFL this 12 months and he’s going to be going through a Cowboys protection that is extraordinarily excellent at sacking the quarterback. That turns out like a crisis ready to occur.” — CBS Sports writer John Breech on why he sees Dallas blowing out the Commanders, 31-17. To see the rest of Breech’s picks for Week 12, click here.

The SportsLine Projection Model is on a 29-18 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season. It is also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. With that in mind, you’ll want to see which way it’s leaning for Commanders-Cowboys. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over the total, but also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. To see what side that is, head on over to SportsLine.

“The Commanders are coming off a dud last week against the Giants, while Dallas is flying high. The Cowboys are playing as well as any team in the league. Washington’s offensive line is an issue, which will lead to the Cowboys having a field day with their defensive front. Dak Prescott plays well again. Cowboys roll.” — CBS Sports Senior NFL author Pete Prisco on why he has the Cowboys beating the Commanders, 32-16. To see the remainder of Prisco’s choices for Week 12, click on right here. 

Time: Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC), circulate on fubo (try for free) 
Open: 49ers -6, O/U 43.5

Featured Game | Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers

SportsLine’s Josh Nagel is a Reno-based analyst and radio host who has labored within the sports activities handicapping trade for greater than two decades. Specifically, Nagel has had his arms at the pulse of the Seahawks and is a blistering 24-10 (+1300) on his ultimate 34 choices in video games involving Seattle. Naturally, you’ll be able to need to know which means he’s going on this NFC West matchup, particularly with Nagel discovering key X issue that has him attacking one aspect of the unfold. We can inform you he is leaning over the whole, however to see his unfold select you’ll have to head to SportsLine.

“The 49ers are showing us that they are fully back on track after a stellar win over the Bucs on Sunday. Brock Purdy had a perfect passer rating, they got contributions from all of their skill-position players, and the defense is top-notch. Losing safety Talanoa Hufanga is a tough blow, but it doesn’t sway me from laying the points here especially with this number being under a touchdown. Geno Smith likely won’t be 100% after suffering an injury to his throwing arm on Sunday or it’ll be Drew Lock under center for Seattle. Either way, it’ll be tough for Seattle to keep pace with San Francisco’s offense, especially when needing to claw through a Niners defense. That unit ranks fourth in pressure rate coming into Week 12, while the Seahawks offensive line is allowing pressure at the eighth-highest rate in the league.” — CBS Sports NFL author Tyler Sullivan explaining why he has the 49ers masking the 6.5-point unfold over Seattle. To see all of his Week 12 choices, click on right here.

Time: Friday, 3 p.m. ET (Prime Video)
Open: Dolphins -7.5, O/U 42

Featured Game | New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins

“This Friday game the day after Thanksgiving isn’t what it was expected to be with the Jets being an offensive disaster. The Jets defense is coming off a bad showing against Buffalo, and will be challenged here by the Dolphins. Tim Boyle will start at quarterback for the Jets, but will it matter? Even so, I think the Jets keep it close with their defense.” — CBS Sports Senior NFL author Pete Prisco on why he has the Dolphins taking down the Jets, 21-16. To see the remainder of his Week 12 choices, click on right here.

“Miami is an Under crew now, led by way of its protection. The offense has slowed down and a run recreation that averaged 6.5 yards in step with elevate over the primary six weeks is at simply 3.9 in step with elevate since (twenty second within the league). De’Von Achane is in poor health once more, and the ultimate two Miami video games did not crack 35 issues. Miami has scored 20 or fewer in 3 in their ultimate 4 video games and is going through a more difficult protection on Friday. The Jets held the Dolphins to 28 overall issues in two video games ultimate season.

“The Dolphins defense is getting sharp and figuring out Vic Fangio’s system. The Jets are last in the NFL with nine offensive touchdowns, four fewer than any other team. Is Tim Boyle really going to generate points? Really? I just hope there aren’t multiple pick-sixes, or it could be 20-13. It’s a short week with limited practice and Miami has to travel and head into the cold, with an offense that isn’t nearly as sharp when playing out of South Florida. The Jets have gone Under in 12 of their last 15 games.” — SportLine’s Jason La Canfora has been one of the crucial web page’s sharpest and has now laid out a slew of best bets for Week 12. That contains taking the Under 40.5 overall in Dolphins-Jets on Black Friday. To see the remainder of his choices that features a must-back play in Packers-Lions, go check out SportsLine.



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