NFL Kickoff Game picks: Potentially short-handed Chiefs offer value vs. Lions as 2023 season begins

rewrite this content material with complete duration and stay HTML tags This is a piece of writing model of the CBS Sports HQ PM Newsletter, without equal day-to-day sports activities playing information. You can signal as much as get it for your inbox each and every weekday afternoon right here. All occasions Eastern | Game odds by the use of SportsLine consensus 🔥 The Hot Ticket Lions at Chiefs, 8:20 p.m. | TV: NBC The Pick: Chiefs -4.5 (-110)Key development: The Chiefs are 12-8-1 ATS towards the NFC since 2019.I have no idea what is tougher to wrap my head round with this sport. The truth the Lions are taking part in in primetime within the first sport of the NFL common season or that those self same Lions are most effective 4.5-point underdogs to the protecting Super Bowl champions. I do know that there is uncertainty surrounding Travis Kelce’s standing for this sport, however my intestine intuition is he will play. He will not be complete power, however he will be at the box as a useful diversion, if not anything else. And even supposing he does not play, neatly, the Chiefs nonetheless have that Patrick Mahomes man. He’s lovely respectable. Not most effective is Mahomes the most efficient QB within the sport as of late, he is been higher previous within the season right through his occupation. In a season’s first 4 video games, Mahomes is averaging 3 touchdowns passing and 308.4 yards consistent with sport. The Chiefs have long past 17-3 in the ones video games. Even with out Kelce, I’ve a difficult time pondering Mahomes will battle as a result of he nonetheless has Andy Reid and the Chiefs’ offensive scheme on his facet. Then there may be the Lions. It’s a staff that feels adore it’s being topped just because Aaron Rodgers left Green Bay and everyone thinks Kirk Cousins and the Vikings are too dull. The Lions — THE LIONS! — are the cool pick out within the NFC North. It’s the similar Detroit staff that used to be 9-8 total remaining 12 months however most effective 4-7 towards groups out of doors the NFC North. Sure, believing this staff may beef up is not unrealistic, however the Lions will also be higher and nonetheless be mediocre. Do your factor if you wish to wager on a mediocre staff towards the Chiefs in Arrowhead Stadium in a primetime sport. I’ll be doing the sensible factor as an alternative. 👀 Here’s what SportsLine is pronouncing in regards to the sport: The Projection Model is at the similar play, and there is not any scarcity of selections to be had from all of SportsLine’s mavens. Everybody is happy to get the NFL season underway. 💰 The Picks USATSI Lions at Chiefs, 8:20 p.m. | TV: NBC The Pick: Jerick McKinnon Over 26.5 Receiving Yards (-115)Key development: McKinnon averaged 42.4 receiving yards consistent with sport over Kansas City’s ultimate seven video games remaining 12 months.I love this prop if Kelce performs, and I adore it if he does no longer. As I stated, if Kelce performs, there is a just right likelihood he will be extra distraction than weapon, however Kansas City will likely be throwing the ball someplace. The Chiefs have a variety of query marks at receiver, however Jerick McKinnon took on a a lot more vital function within the offense overdue remaining season. Over the overall seven video games (together with the playoffs), McKinnon averaged 42.4 yards and four.3 receptions consistent with sport. The Chiefs offense will proceed to make use of other backs, however McKinnon has emerged as the most well liked again within the passing sport, and Mahomes has advanced a consider in him. There’s a powerful likelihood he’s going to play a bigger function than expected this night. Murray State at Louisville, 7:30 p.m. | TV: ACC Network The Pick: Louisville -42.5 (-115)Key development: Murray State has misplaced its remaining 3 video games towards Power Five groups via 45.7 issues consistent with contest.There is a faculty sport this night, and what a doozy! Louisville hosts Murray State, and whilst I do not make a addiction of having a bet video games involving FCS colleges, I see value on this spot. Louisville were given thrown for a loop towards Georgia Tech remaining week, permitting 28 issues in the second one quarter. However, the Cardinals were given their act in combination at halftime, got here out in the second one part and ruled the sport 26-6 to drag off a 39-34 win. Don’t be expecting Murray State to post a 28-point fourth quarter. Murray State has been one of the vital lesser FCS systems for a couple of years now, and whilst it should have crushed Presbyterian 41-10 remaining week, Presbyterian may well be the worst staff on the FCS degree. The Racers have not had just about the similar luck towards Power Five groups, shedding their remaining 3 contests via a mean of 45.7 issues. This is Jeff Brohm’s first house sport again at Louisville as trainer, and he’s going to need to placed on a display for the Cardinals trustworthy. Mercy is probably not proven. 🔒 SportsLine Pick of the Day: The SportsLine Projection Model has 3 “A” graded selections for this weekend’s school soccer slate, and imagine it or no longer, Northwestern at Rutgers is considered one of them. 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