Saturday, May 11, 2024

Despite losing to Royals, Super Giants comfortably placed for playoffs


Rajasthan Royals: Mat 13, Pts 16, NRR 0.304
Remaining match: vs Chennai Super Kings

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A cushty 24-run win towards Lucknow Super Giants means Rajasthan Royals are nearly sure of qualifying for the playoffs. Only 5 groups can now get to 16 or extra factors – Delhi Capitals play Punjab Kings, so solely one in every of them can attain that tally – and Royals’ wonderful internet run price (NRR) of 0.304, coupled with Royal Challengers Bangalore’s poor -0.323, means Royals are very properly placed. For them to drop beneath Royal Challengers, they may have to lose to Super Kings by an enormous margin and Royal Challengers will want a giant win towards Gujarat Titans – the mixed margin of these two outcomes will want to be round 160 runs. (If Royal Challengers win by 70, Royals will want to lose by round 90.)

They additionally play their final recreation after Royal Challengers, so they may know precisely what they want to do to end within the prime 4. The goal for Royals will now really be to win their final recreation and end among the many prime two.

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Lucknow Super Giants: Mat 13, Pts 16, NRR 0.262
Remaining match: vs Kolkata Knight Riders

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In their final two matches, Super Giants’ NRR has dropped from 0.703 to 0.262, thanks to losses in these video games by a mixed margin of 86 runs. However, like Royals, Super Giants are additionally comfortably placed to qualify due to Royal Challengers’ poor NRR. For them to lose out on a playoffs spot, the mixed margin of their defeat and Royal Challengers’ win may have to be round 150 runs.

Like Royals, Super Giants, too, have the prospect to end among the many prime two. If each these groups win their final match, they may end on 18 factors every and NRR will resolve who finishes second.

Delhi Capitals: Mat 12, Pts 12, NRR 0.210
Remaining matches: vs Kings, Mumbai Indians

With Royals additionally reaching 16 factors, there may be much less wriggle room for groups that are on the center of the desk. Delhi Capitals are nonetheless the most effective placed amongst these groups, thanks to their wonderful NRR of 0.210. If they win their final two matches, they may undergo. Even in the event that they lose a kind of matches and end on 14, they might nonetheless qualify if Kings and Royal Challengers do not attain 16, and if Knight Riders and Sunrisers do not win their final video games and go previous Capitals on run price. In reality, it’s nonetheless potential for all these 5 groups to end on 14 factors, combating for the final playoff spot.

Punjab Kings: Mat 12, Pts 12, NRR 0.023
Remaining matches: vs Capitals, Hyderabad

Kings at the moment have an NRR of 0.023, which is decrease than Capitals’ 0.210 whom they play on Monday. If they win that recreation and their final one towards Sunrisers, they may qualify.

If they lose to Capitals, they may have to win their final recreation towards Sunrisers, after which hope that Capitals and Royal Challengers lose theirs. It will then come down to NRR among the many groups on 14 factors.

For occasion, if Kings lose to Capitals by a run on Monday and beat Sunrisers by 25 runs after scoring 180, their NRR will enhance to 0.112; if Capitals lose their final recreation towards Mumbai Indians by 25 runs, their NRR will drop to 0.086. Thus, it is potential for Kings to keep in competition even when they lose to Capitals, so long as they lose by a small margin.

Royal Challengers Bangalore: Mat 13, Pts 14, NRR -0.323
Remaining match: vs Gujarat Titans

Given their poor NRR, Royal Challengers will most likely have to win their final recreation to stand an opportunity of qualification. If they lose that, it’s extremely unlikely that they will survive the NRR battle towards the opposite group(s) on 14.

Even in the event that they lose by only one run and Punjab Kings beat Capitals by a run, Punjab Kings may have to lose to Sunrisers by round 90 runs for their NRR to drop beneath that of Royal Challengers. Thus, a defeat towards Titans will successfully finish their qualification possibilities. A victory may not be sufficient both, if Capitals or Punjab Kings additionally end on 16.

Kolkata Knight Riders: Mat 13, Pts 12, NRR 0.160
Remaining matches: vs Super Giants

Knight Riders can attain a most of 14, which implies they too should hope that no different group reaches 16. Their NRR of 0.160 is sort of wholesome; in the event that they rating 180 and win their final recreation by 25 runs, it would enhance additional to 0.241, which implies they are going to be within the hunt for the playoffs if not one of the different groups go up to 16.

Sunrisers Hyderabad: Mat 12, Pts 10, NRR -0.270
Remaining matches: vs Mumbai, Kings

Sunrisers may have to win their final two video games by massive margins, after which hope that no different group strikes up to 16 factors. They will clearly stand a greater likelihood if Capitals lose each matches and keep on 12, and if Knight Riders lose their final recreation too.

If Sunrisers win their final two by 30 runs every, then their NRR might be -0.010. If Kings beat Capitals by a run and lose to Sunrisers by 30, their NRR will drop to -0.085 (assuming scores of 180 and 150).

S Rajesh is stats editor of ESPNcricinfo. @rajeshstats



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