Good morning, Mission, and welcome to Virus Village, your (considerably common) Covid-19 information dump.
Hospitalizations are steady, recorded infections are down . Positivity charges have gone again up and R Number fashions have dropped again beneath 1. Wastewater monitoring from Stanford reveals much less virus in close by sewers. The signposts are combined and fragmented however nonetheless recommend loads of covid circulating across the City.
After two weeks of blessed Dubs distraction, it’s again to “reality” — the inheritance of 40 years of Reagan-Thatcher-Feinstein defunding and degrading of San Francisco public companies. Although some within the nationwide media blame hippies, homeless and Chesa Boudin for the mess in SF, the covid disaster has made it stunningly clear who has had energy (they aren’t “progressives”) and what they’ve achieved.
The fundamental perspective of nationwide, state and metropolis officers towards covid is which you could deal with your self. Really? This is the way they prepare for more contagious variants on the way bringing elevated re-infection.
The good news is covid-related deaths are near all time lows nationally, although within the early days SF had only a few deaths recorded.
The U.S spends more on healtcare than any other high-income country and has the least to show for it in terms of health, says a new article on the JAMA Network. It’s not simply Trump and Co. Public well being on this county has not often been thought of a precedence, which we’re seeing performed out now in actual time.
It appears the media by no means tires of complicated immunity in opposition to an infection with immunity in opposition to extreme illness, hospitalization and dying. An article within the Wall Street Journal asks “Can we develop a covid-19 vaccine that lasts?” whereas Nature has an article that worries whether the new “omicron” vaccine in development will work against the new variants. And there have been quite a few articles relating the waniing efficacy of The Vaccine. For essentially the most half, these articles are speaking about immunity in opposition to an infection. And though there have been some research which report a waning immunity in opposition to extreme illness and so forth., this new article in the New England Journal of Medicine suggests T-cell immunity (in opposition to extreme illness and so forth.) is likely to last for decades.
Which as soon as once more raises the queston of the worth of the boosters. Here’s one answer to that query.
And with regards to The Vaccine, Eric Topol of the Scripps Research Institute in San Diego asks how were the first vaccines developed in 10 months, while after 2.5 years we still don’t have a pan-covid vaccine or a nasal vaccine.
Most probably the reply has mosly assured income for Big Pharma and poiitics.
Is the nasal vaccine on the close to horizon?
Speaking of politics, the Hoover Gang (who grew to become the Great Barrington Declaration Gang, now rebranded because the “Brownstone Institute“) which have steadfastly opposed any meaningful concept of “public health” (they’re successful, or received, that battle), now are occurring the offensive in opposition to those that favored collective motion, calling for “public (show) trials” and suggesting the guillotine for those convicted.
The Lancet has a piece discussing and evaluating “long covid” related to delta and omicron variants.
City PR campaigns however, issues are not looking good at Laguna Honda. Particularly dangerous for the sufferers.
Scroll down for at present’s covid numbers.
Over the previous week, hospitalizations rose 2.5 % (representing 2 extra sufferers). On June 18, DPH studies there have been 81 covid hospitalizations, or about 9.3 covid hospitalizations per 100,000 residents (based mostly on an 874,000 inhabitants). Note: hospitalization figures had been within the 90s a couple days in the past. ICU sufferers stay roughly the place they’ve been. The California Department of Public Health presently studies 86 covid sufferers in SF hospitals with 14 sufferers in ICU.
The newest report from the federal Department of Health and Human Services reveals Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital with 15 covid sufferers and 9 ICU beds accessible, whereas throughout the Mission, CPMC had 7 covid sufferers and 5 ICU beds accessible. Of 103 reported covid sufferers within the City, 49 had been at both SFGH or UCSF, with at the least 77 ICU beds accessible amongst reporting hospitals (which doesn’t embody the Veterans Administration or Laguna Honda). The California DPH presently studies 109 ICU beds accessible in San Francisco.
Between April 17 and June 16, DPH recorded 1389 new infections amongst Mission residents (a rise of 1.5 % from final week) or 236 new infections per 10,000 residents. During that interval, Mission Bay continued with the best price at 391 new infections per 10,000 residents. Of 38 neighborhoods, 6 had charges above 300 per 10,000 residents, with 5 within the east and southeast sectors of the City. Treasure Island continued with the bottom price and Lakeshore, the one neighborhood within the City with lower than 50 % of its inhabitants vaccinated, continued to have the second lowest price.
DPH studies on June 14, the 7-day common of day by day new infections recorded within the City dropped to 420 or roughly 43.4 new infections per 100,000 residents (based mostly on an 874,000 inhabitants), representing a 9 % drop from final week. According to DPH, the 7-day common an infection price amongst vaccinated residents was 48 per 100,000 “fully vaccinated” residents and 115.4 per 100,000 unvaccinated residents. It is unclear whether or not “fully vaccinated” means 2, 3 or 4 doses. According to the New York Times, the 7-day common quantity on June 14 was 498. The newest report from the Times says the 7-day common on June 21 was 465, a 10 % decrese over the previous two weeks. As famous above wastewater monitoring reveals the virus considerably down in native sewers. This report comes from the Stanford model. The state received’t resume reporting till the top of the month (“staffing problems”).
So far in June, Asians recorded 1,985 new infections or 30.5 % of the month’s instances; Whites 1,505 infections or 23.1 %; Latinxs 820 infections or 12.6 %; Blacks 293 infections or 4.5 %; Multi-racials 46 infections or .7 %; Pacific Islanders 35 infections or .5 %; and Native Americans had 12 recorded infections in May or .2 % of the June totals thus far.
The 7-day rolling Citywide common positivity price rose 4 % through the previous week, whereas common day by day testing dropped roughly 22.3 %. So far in June, Multi-racials have a positivity price of 15.4 %, Asians 13.8 %, Pacific Islanders 13.2 %, Native Americans 13 %, Latinxs 12.8 %, Blacks 11.5 % and Whites have a positivity price of 10.6 % thus far in June.
Vaccination charges in SF present nearly no change from final week with the variety of residents who’ve acquired at the least one dose rising .06 % and the variety of residents receiving a booster rising .36 %.
For information on the place to get vaccinated in and across the Mission, go to our Vaccination Page.
Nine new covid-related deaths, with 2 in June, have been reported, bringing the overall for the reason that starting of the yr to 206. DPH received’t say what number of had been vaccinated. Nor does it present information on the race/ethnicity or socio-economic standing of those that have just lately died. According to DPH “COVID-19 deaths are suspected to be associated with COVID-19. This means COVID-19 is listed as a cause of death or significant condition on the death certificate.” Using a phrase like “suspected to be associated with” signifies the issue in figuring out a covid dying. The fog will get denser as DPH studies, extremely because it has for months, solely 21 of the deaths are recognized to have had no underlying situations, or comorbidities. DPH solely provides cumulative demographic numbers on deaths.
The lack of dependable an infection quantity information makes R Number estimates very unsure. Covid R Estimation on June 14 estimated the San Francisco R Number at .79 whereas its estimate for the California R Number on June 17 was .90. The ensemble, as of June 15, estimated the San Francisco R Number at .88 and its California R Number at .97. Note: All fashions within the ensemble present SF beneath 1.
So far in June, DPH studies San Franciscans aged 0-4 have 324 recorded infections, or 4.3 % of the recorded infections; 5-11 272 infections or 3.6 %; 12-17 218 infections or 2.9 %; 18-20 156 infections or 2.1 %; 21-24 401 infections or 5.3 %; 25-29 829 infections or 11 %; 30-39 1,774 infections or 23.5 %; 40-49 1,171 infections or 15.5 %; 50-59 1048 infections or 13.9 %; 60-69 753 infections or 10 %; 70-79 366 infections or 4.8 %; and people San Franciscans aged 80 and above have 244 recorded infections or 3.2 % of the recorded infections thus far this month.