Chris Sununu Eyes the G.O.P.’s ‘Normal’ Lane in 2024. Does It Exist?

MANCHESTER, N.H. — When then-President Donald J. Trump visited New Hampshire in 2018, a typical delegation awaited him: flag-waving superfans, sign-carrying protesters and the sitting Republican governor.

Mr. Trump, true to type, appeared most in the first group.

“They love me,” he stated, admiring the crowd in Manchester from his govt limousine, in keeping with the governor, Chris Sununu, who rode with him. Mr. Trump singled out an particularly zealous-looking customer. “You see that guy?” he stated. “He loves me.”

Never thoughts that the man’s signal had two phrases, Mr. Sununu recalled: a four-letter profanity and “Trump.”

“You like to think in that moment, ‘Well, maybe he just didn’t see,’” the governor stated. But some individuals, he recommended, see what they wish to see.

Mr. Sununu sees issues altering.

After three consecutive disappointing election cycles for his celebration, Mr. Sununu says the time for indulging Mr. Trump’s delusions has lengthy handed. The midterms, he argues, proved that the nation, together with many Republicans, had little curiosity in the far-right candidates the former president backed. Even nominating a onetime Trump acolyte from the potential 2024 subject, like Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida or the former United Nations ambassador Nikki Haley, is a misinterpret of the second, he says.

And so, Mr. Sununu — a “Seinfeld”-quoting, Covid booster-boosting son of a governor who supported Mr. Trump’s first two campaigns — is providing himself up as a strolling referendum on the route of his celebration.

“I don’t like losers,” Mr. Sununu has stated, edging towards a Trump echo. “I’m not anti-Trump, I’m not pro-Trump. We’re just moving on.”

As Mr. Sununu, 48, considers a White House run, conferring with advisers and road-testing a message of de-MAGA-fied conservatism, the case towards him as a nationwide Republican pressure is easy: He calls himself “pro-choice” and is way lesser recognized than a number of would-be rivals. He represents about twice as many individuals as a House backbencher. He appraises himself as a person of restricted vocabulary and occasional malapropism. (“I used to be very shy and inverted,” he stated in an interview.)

But the case for Mr. Sununu, and towards Trumpism given latest electoral historical past, is even less complicated, in his telling: Check the scoreboard.

Last November, Mr. Sununu gained re-election by greater than 15 factors in a state that has awarded Democrats every of its federal places of work, the kind of big-tent exhibiting he says his celebration would require in 2024. (Some different double-digit Republican standouts, together with Mr. DeSantis, scored their midterm landslides in states that tilted broadly pink.)

While Democrats are discarding New Hampshire as the first-in-the-nation presidential main, its perch with Republicans is safe, permitting Mr. Sununu an early alternative to show himself.

And in a race anticipated to teem with high Trump officers and former high-profile Trump endorsees, Mr. Sununu is an area dynastic inheritor who would possibly nonetheless stake a better declare than such rivals to political independence and self-sufficiency.

For now, his pre-candidacy — his position as a nationwide participant in any respect — represents an early experiment for the celebration, a real-time barometer for abortion politics, Republican media technique and the sturdiness of ‌what he sees as a dead-end Trumpian marketing campaign mentality in normal elections.‌

“I’m conservative, I’m just not an extremist,” Mr. Sununu stated. “Sometimes people confuse conservative with extremist.”

His better ambition, crisscrossing his state on a latest weekday, gave the impression to be that nobody would confuse conservative with boring.

Over some 12 hours on the street, at his workplace, in diner cubicles, on an icy strolling path and in radio and tv studios for different media appearances, Mr. Sununu challenged younger voters to hitch him at “the cool table,” interspersing digressions on Batman, “Boogie Nights” and bear habits (“Bears Behaving Badly” sits on his govt bookshelf) with meditations on the “big-government authoritarian” impulses of sure culture-warring counterparts and the fading salience of abortion for a lot of Republicans after Dobbs.

He broke right into a falsetto-heavy “Jessie’s Girl” to greet a Fox producer named Jesse earlier than a distant interview. He workshopped a Mitch McConnell impression, all throat sounds and inscrutability.

A keen namer of names, Mr. Sununu tends to name most any political determine he has met “a friend” earlier than merrily undercutting the premise beneath gentle questioning.

“So,” he stated when requested to quote, say, Mr. DeSantis’s very best quality as a buddy, lingering over plates of lunchtime rooster tenders in Manchester, “how are those tenders?”

A couple of bites later, Mr. Sununu was demoting Mr. DeSantis, who has a popularity for personal prickliness, to “a peer.”

For all his performative candor — “I probably shouldn’t say this” is a typical preamble — Mr. Sununu has at instances made the similar calculations as many fellow Republicans. He stated he would nonetheless assist Mr. Trump over any Democrat if he recaptured the nomination.

Asked if there was something the former president may do to lose him for good, two years after the Jan. 6 Capitol riot, Mr. Sununu summoned Mr. Trump’s famed instance of the violence he may inflict with out dropping anybody for good: “Shoot somebody in the streets of Manhattan,” Mr. Sununu stated, “and we’re going to have a problem.”

If the governor has his manner, 2024 will preclude any such ethical dilemmas, whether or not he turns into a contender himself or seeks to play New Hampshire kingmaker for an additional non-Trump candidate.

His attraction at residence, mates say, is approachability as a lot as any signature coverage. “He can tell you the betting line of the Patriot game,” stated Thomas D. Rath, a former state legal professional normal and longtime Republican strategist. “He takes his garbage to the dump on Saturdays.”

And his political mantra — “Be normal,” Mr. Sununu has usually stated, “keep it normal” — raises two questions of consequence to the Republican future:

Is he? And, in these plainly irregular instances, is he proper?

The ‘everywhere’ governor

At minimal, Mr. Sununu comes from normal-affiliating Republican inventory.

His father, John — whose portrait the youthful Mr. Sununu repositioned barely upon taking workplace so he wouldn’t discover it staring again at him every time he walked out — served three phrases as governor in the Eighties earlier than turning into George H.W. Bush’s first White House chief of workers. The present governor’s older brother, additionally John, spent 12 years in Congress earlier than dropping his Senate seat in 2008.

For a lot of his life, the second Governor Sununu didn’t think about politics for himself. As an engineering scholar at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Mr. Sununu dreamed of Hollywood. He wrote a romantic comedy screenplay a few European man falling in love in Boston (“Beacon and Mass Ave.”) and a script about Paul Revere’s trip from the British perspective.

After a quick stint at New York University’s movie college, the place the chess hustlers of Washington Square Park generally separated him from his cash, Mr. Sununu stated he skilled an epiphany on a five-month Appalachian Trail hike from Maine to Georgia and located his manner again to an engineering profession cleansing hazardous waste websites. He later ran an area ski resort and joined New Hampshire’s govt council, a key governing physique, in 2011. He lives along with his spouse and three youngsters in Newfields.

Fusing this curated political model as an outdoorsy New Hampshire evangelist with a formidable household identify, Mr. Sununu gained a slim victory in 2016, when Hillary Clinton carried his state, and three comfy re-elections. (New Hampshire elects its governor each two years.)

Last yr, his workplace put out a Sununu-authored anthem celebrating his own ubiquity, set to “I’ve Been Everywhere” and carried out advert hoc for any unfamiliar viewers.

“I’ve been to Chester, Chichester, Dorchester, Chesterfield,” he started, twice, at varied factors inside his S.U.V. on the latest weekday, “Manchester, Rochester, Winchester, Newfields.”

“A teleprompter,” Neil Levesque, the govt director of the New Hampshire Institute of Politics at Saint Anselm College, stated diplomatically, “is not a Chris Sununu contraption.”

On coverage, Mr. Sununu has mixed a libertarian streak, preaching fiscal self-discipline and tax reduction, with an emphasis on bipartisan causes like the opioid disaster.

But Mr. Sununu distinguished himself from some reasonable East Coast Republican governors, like Larry Hogan of Maryland and Charlie Baker of Massachusetts, by by no means completely abandoning Mr. Trump, even when he hardly ever gave the impression of a cheerleader.

At final yr’s Gridiron Club dinner in Washington, Mr. Sununu joked that whereas Mr. Trump didn’t essentially belong in a psychological establishment, he would have bother speaking his manner out of 1. Cable news interviewers haven’t let him neglect it.

“I feel like George Costanza,” Mr. Sununu stated just lately, complaining that journalists flub his supply in the retelling. “‘Turn the car around, we’re going back to the Gridiron, and I’m going to tell you how to tell this joke.’”

He has individually likened Mr. Trump’s scandal survivalism to a scene from “The Princess Bride,” whose protagonist develops immunity to poison by constant publicity.

“That’s Trump,” he stated. “It doesn’t matter what lethality you think the poison comes at, it’s not going to kill him.”

The ‘tough decision’

If voters are persuaded that Mr. Trump’s time has handed, one other minefield looms for Mr. Sununu. He insists it isn’t so treacherous anymore, even for a Republican who identifies as “pro-choice.”

“Traditionally, if it was a governor or someone in this type of position at the state, they could be pro-life and say, ‘Look, nothing I can do,’” he stated. “What Dobbs said is, ‘You want to be pro-life? Be pro-life. You want to ban it? Ban it.’ And some states may choose to do that. I disagree.”

In 2021, Mr. Sununu signed a ban on abortions after 24 weeks. While many Republican governors have gone significantly additional, some conservative states have stopped wanting the most expansive restrictions.

“Either you’re pro-abortion, you’re pro-life, or you’re — like most of us — somewhere in the middle,” Mr. Sununu stated. “What are these other governors going to do when they stand on a stage and say, ‘I’m pro-life’? But you didn’t ban it. You didn’t even try. Are you really?”

The governor additionally criticized ostensible conservatives for concentrating on personal companies deemed hostile to right-wing values, citing Mr. DeSantis in specific. “Is government going to solve a cultural issue?” he requested. “No. Good Republicans don’t believe that.”

Some nationwide Republicans suspect Mr. Sununu is speaking to an voters that largely doesn’t exist.

Recent historical past finds little proof that almost all Republicans have an interest in a consensus-minded conservative. “Sununu is my kind of candidate from the before-times,” stated Sarah Longwell, an anti-Trump Republican strategist. Now, she added, “What matters is: Do you make liberals cry?”

If nothing else, Mr. Sununu has conspicuously loved the platform afforded to any not-ruling-it-out presidential candidate, hanging Halloween decorations with CNN and snowboarding with The Boston Globe.

Here, too, Mr. Sununu has discovered fault with Mr. DeSantis and different Republicans who shun conventional news organizations or unscripted public encounters.

“I would love to see what happens when he walks in here,” Mr. Sununu stated over milkshakes at Red Arrow Diner in Manchester, “to sit down, to have a milkshake and just chill. I don’t know! I’ve never seen it.”

As he weighs his personal bid, Mr. Sununu stated he had till “further down the road than people think” to resolve. A bit over a yr in the past, the governor handed on a Senate run after a prolonged deliberation, irritating Republicans in Washington who felt strung alongside.

His subsequent failure to get his most popular Republican, Chuck Morse, by a main towards Don Bolduc, who had known as the 2020 election stolen, may trace at Mr. Sununu’s limitations as a kingmaker if he skips 2024 himself. (The governor backed Mr. Bolduc’s failed normal election marketing campaign.)

But Mr. Sununu has his native admirers. During the lunchtime interview, he obtained a procession of well-wishers, signing the forged of a tween (“Live free or die”), forgiving a patron who nearly known as him “John” and in search of counsel from an worker who requested about his “tough decision.”

“You’ll do the right thing,” the man stated.

“When you figure out what that is,” the governor instructed him, “you let me know.”