Bold NFL predictions for Week 10, Panthers-Bears ‘TNF’ grades and breaking down Rookie of the Year races

Welcome to the Friday version of the Pick Six e-newsletter!

Bears lovers have not had so much to cheer for this season, however they were given a double-dose of just right news on Thursday night time. Not best did the Bears beat the Panthers 16-13, in addition they took one step nearer to in all probability getting the No. 1 general select in the 2024 draft since they personal Carolina’s first-round select. 

The Panthers and Bears have each been unhealthy this season, however they in fact gave us a rather entertaining sport. We’ll be grading each groups in lately’s e-newsletter, plus, we will be taking a midseason have a look at the Rookie of the Year races and we will offer some daring predictions for Week 10. 

As at all times, this is your day by day reminder to inform your whole buddies to enroll for the e-newsletter. To get them signed up, all it’s important to do is click on right here. Let’s get to the rundown. 

1. Today’s display: Best bets for Week 10

If you are a common listener of the “Pick Six NFL” podcast or a standard reader of this article, then you recognize what we do on Fridays: We make choices. And then simply while you assume we are carried out making choices, we make extra choices. 

For lately’s display, host Katie Mox used to be joined via Will Brinson along side R.J. White and Alex “PropStarz” Selelnick — two of our playing gurus over at SportsLine — and the 3 of them introduced some of their highest bets for Week 10.

The workforce spent a whole hour handing out choices, and we are going to cross over a couple of of their highest bets right here: 

Will Brinson (2-1 in choices we shared right here closing week, 14-12-1 on the season)
Jaguars (+3) to hide in opposition to 49ers
Ravens (-6.5) to hide in opposition to Browns
Steelers (-3) to hide in opposition to Packers

R.J. White (1-2 in choices we shared right here closing week, 11-16 on the season)
Vikings (+3) to hide in opposition to Saints
Commanders (+6.5) to hide in opposition to Seahawks
Titans at Buccaneers OVER 38.5 general issues

Katie Mox (1-2 in choices we shared right here closing week, 9-15 on the season)
49ers OVER 23.5 general workforce issues in opposition to Jaguars
Cowboys (-17.5) to hide in opposition to Giants
Falcons at Cardinals OVER 43.5 general issues

As for PropStarz, he passed out a couple of of his favourite props for the weekend, as a result of when your nickname is PropStarz, that is what the other folks be expecting. 

• Browns at Ravens: Mark Andrews OVER 45.5 dashing yards
• Browns at Ravens: Eli Moore UNDER 33.5 yards
• Lions at Chargers: Austin Ekeler UNDER 48.5 receiving yards

PropStarz went 2-1 closing week and is now 15-12 on the season, together with 14-7 over the previous seven weeks. 

To listen what the leisure of the highest bets are for Week 10 — and there are reasonably a couple of — make sure you click here so you can listen to the entire episode of the podcast. You can also watch the episode on YouTube here. 

2. Thursday night time grades after Bears’ 16-13 win over Panthers

The Bears took one step nearer to clinching the No. 1 general select in the 2024 NFL Draft via beating the Panthers on Thursday night time. At 1-8, the Panthers at the moment are the frontrunners to land the most sensible select, however that is not in fact going to lend a hand them as a result of they traded away the select away. The Panthers despatched their 2024 first-round select to the Bears as section of the deal that allowed them to procure the No. 1 general select in 2023, which they used on Bryce Young. 

Here are our grades from the sport: 

PANTHERS GRADE: C-

It took 10 weeks, however the Panthers may have in the end hit all-time low. That’s the best solution to describe it when you’ve got the No. 1 general select in the NFL Draft (Bryce Young) and he will get outplayed via an undrafted loose agent (Tyson Bagent). The Panthers’ best TD on this sport got here on a punt go back on an evening the place the offense by no means got here with regards to scoring. Young struggled together with his accuracy, particularly all the way through a primary part the place the Panthers publish simply 97 yards of offense. Carolina best had one offensive force in the whole sport that made it within Chicago’s 20-yard line. The Panthers protection performed smartly sufficient to stay this shut, however Carolina could not thieve the win right here as a result of the offense sputtered for just about the whole sport. The Panthers additionally made some questionable training choices, particularly on their ultimate offensive force, which ended with Eddy Pineiro falling quick on a possible game-tying box objective from 59 yards away with simply 95 seconds left to play. 

Carolina word

• Rough get started. With the loss, the Panthers at the moment are 1-8 on the season, which is tied for the worst nine-game get started in franchise historical past. The Panthers have began 1-8 3 different instances with the most up-to-date example earlier than this 12 months got here all the long ago in 2010.  

BEARS GRADE: C+

The Bears protection should have got a pep communicate from the 1985 Bears as a result of they performed like them on Thursday night time. In what used to be simply their maximum spectacular sport of the season, the Bears close down the Panthers’ offense, protecting them to only 213 yards and six issues. They stored consistent drive on Bryce Young, who used to be sacked thrice on an evening the place the Bears additionally held the Panthers to only 43 yards on the flooring. Offensively, this sport used to be all about revenge as two former Panthers avid gamers — DJ Moore and D’Onta Foreman — accounted for greater than 50% of Bears’ offensive output with the duo gaining 150 of Chicago’s 295 general yards. Foreman used to be particularly just right with 92 scrimmage yards whilst additionally scoring the sport’s best landing. The offense did fight from time to time and the particular groups did surrender a punt go back TD, however the protection performed so smartly that none of that mattered. 

Chicago word

• Almost absolute best. The Bears offense did not have any turnovers, Tyson Bagent did not get sacked a unmarried time and the protection did not give up a unmarried landing. Hopefully, Bears lovers preferred that all-around efficiency as it marks the first time since 1998 that the Bears made it via a whole sport with 0 offensive turnovers, 0 sacks taken and 0 touchdowns given up. The Bears’ win marked simply the 2d time in NFL historical past that an undrafted rookie QB has crushed the No. 1 general select from the similar draft magnificence. The best different time it came about got here in 2019 when Duck Hodges led the Steelers to a win over Kyler Murray’s Cardinals. 

If you need to try extra of our takeaways from the sport, make sure you click on right here. 

3. NFL midseason breakdown: Looking at the Rookie of the Year races

If you have got been studying the e-newsletter frequently, you might have spotted that now we have been celebrating the midway level of the NFL season all week and we are going to proceed that lately via breaking down the Rookie of the Year races. 

Here’s how Josh Edwards sees the two races at the midpoint of the season: 

Offensive Rookie of the Year

• Favorite: Texans QB C.J. Stroud. “Stroud has led the Texans to a 4-4 record through the first half of the season. He has had his Rookie of the Year moment leading Houston to a comeback victory with 46 seconds remaining against the Buccaneers. His production has not been the result of a nickel-and-dime offensive attack. The Ohio State product has the fifth-highest air yards per attempt (8.5), according to TruMedia, and he now has the NFL record for most passing yards by a rookie in a single game.”
• Sleeper: Dolphins RB De’Von Achane. “For any sleeper to become a possible OROY winner, Stroud will have to come back down to earth a bit. If he continues his current level of play, then he is going to run away with the award. Achane has only played in four games but he averaged 131.75 all-purpose yards. If he returns from injury soon and continues to produce, then he could have a shot.”

Defensive Rookie of the Year

• Favorite: Eagles DT Jalen Carter. “Carter’s 14.9% pressure rate is the fifth highest among interior defenders, according to TruMedia. He has just four sacks to show for his efforts but the No. 9 overall selection is consistently impacting the backfield and disrupting play.”
• Dark horse: Rams EDGE Byron Young. “Young leads all rookies with five sacks and two forced fumbles. His 13.6% pressure rate is the third highest by a rookie this season, according to Trumedia. If he finishes with 10+ sacks, then he is going to be under consideration.”

Edwards in fact broke down the possibilities that a number of avid gamers may need to win every award, and if you wish to see his complete checklist of rookie of the 12 months applicants, make sure you cross right here. 

4. NFL Week 10 choices: Kyler Murray pulls off disillusioned in first sport again, 49ers select up large street win

I am hoping you are no longer drained of studying our choices but, as a result of we’ve much more of them coming at you at the moment. This batch might be coming from NFL senior creator Pete Prisco along side Will Brinson, Jordan Dajani, Tyler Sullivan and myself. After getting off to a scorching get started this season, now we have cooled down rather, however we are nonetheless above .500 after going 3-2 closing week. 

Heading into Week 10, we nonetheless have our head above water with a 23-21-1 document in opposition to the unfold with our choices which were featured in the e-newsletter.

Here’s how issues are going to paintings: I’m going to provide you with one select from every man and then direct you to the leisure of their choices. That manner, for those who like their select, you are able to learn the leisure of them, but when they select in opposition to your favourite workforce, you’ll forget about the leisure of their choices and transfer on. 

• Pete Prisco: Steelers (-3) 23-17 over Packers. From Prisco: “I think the Steelers defensive front will create problems for Jordan Love as Pittsburgh wins again. The Steelers have extra rest and they’re at home.” For the leisure of Prisco’s Week 10 choices, make sure you click on right here.
• Tyler Sullivan: Cardinals (+1) 24-21 over Falcons. From Sullivan: “Despite Atlanta’s talent, Arthur Smith seems to go out of his way not to utilize his top-tier skill-position players and it’s resulted in two straight losses. Nothing suggests that’ll change this week, so I like Arizona as a slim home dog to welcome back Kyler Murray with a victory. Also, Atlanta is 0-7 ATS in non-divisional games this season.” For the leisure of Sullivan’s Week 10 choices, make sure you click on right here.
• Will Brinson: Lions (-3) to hide in opposition to Chargers. From Brinson: “Short week for the Chargers, who head back across the country after a “dominant” win over the Jets only to face off against a much more difficult test in Detroit. … The Lions will protect Jared Goff much much better than the Jets did for Zach Wilson, and the Lions can exploit the Chargers pass defense to make L.A. one dimensional.” For the leisure of Brinson’s Week 10 highest bets, make sure you click on right here.
• Jordan Dajani: 49ers (-3) 27-21 over Jaguars. From Dajani: “The 49ers are on a three-game losing streak, but that skid comes to an end this week. … Don’t get it twisted, I think the Jaguars are a good team, but I’m betting on the 49ers to rebound with Deebo Samuel and Trent Williams potentially returning to the lineup.” For the leisure of Dajani’s Week 10 highest bets, make sure you click on right here.
• John Breech: Patriots (+1.5) 20-17 over Colts. From me: “Gardner Minshew has started 41 games in his career, but he’s never faced Bill Belichick. No one is better than Belichick at confusing opposing quarterbacks and it’s never easy to face him for the first time. The Patriots might fire Belichick and leave him in Germany if he loses this game, but the good news for him is that I don’t think he’s going to lose.” For the leisure of my Week 10 choices, make sure you click on right here. 

For extra Week 10 NFL choices, you’ll take a look at out our CBS Sports choices web page right here. 

5. Bold predictions for Week 10: Stroud leads Texans to disillusioned win over Bengals

Since you are most certainly drained of choices at this level, we are going to spice issues up via giving out some daring predictions, that are like choices, with the exception of spicier. Garrett Podell has 5 daring predictions for Week 10, and we are going to proportion 3 of them underneath. Last week, Garrett boldly predicted that the Vikings would win their first sport with out Kirk Cousins and that is precisely what came about. 

Let’s see what Garrett has in retailer for us this week. 

Bold predictions for Week 10:  

• 1. C.J. Stroud leads Texans previous Bengals. “After setting the rookie passing record in Week 9, Stroud’s next big accomplishment will be halting the Bengals’ four-game winning streak with a stunning road win in the state where he went to college. Stroud has been letting it rip all season. His 8.5 air yards per pass attempt are the fifth most in the NFL entering Week 10, his 14-1 touchdown-to interception ratio leads the NFL entering Week 10 and his 102.9 passer rating is the fourth highest in the league entering Week 10.”
• 2. Titans in the end win a street sport. “Dating back to last season, the Titans have lost 12 of their last 15 games, including their last eight on the road — five of which have come this year. Their road misfortune will turn around against the Buccaneers in Week 10. The Bucs are on a four-game losing streak right now, a stretch in which their 24.8 points per game allowed ranks as the fourth most in the NFL while their 426.0 total yards per game in this stretch is the most in the NFL. Will Levis follows in C.J. Stroud’s footsteps and shreds Tampa Bay’s secondary, powering Tennessee to its first road win in nine games.”
• 3. Seahawks LB Boye Mafe DOESN’T sack Sam Howell. “The NFL’s longest active streak with a sack doesn’t belong to Myles Garrett, Micah Parsons or T.J. Watt. It belongs to Seahawks edge rusher Boye Mafe, a 2022 second-round pick out of Minnesota. His six-game streak is tied for the longest sack streak in team history, but it will be ending this week. Sam Howell is the most sacked QB in the NFL this year, but he’s now become more accustomed to passing while being pressured as he leads the NFL in passing yards when pressured (262) in the last two weeks. The bold prediction here is Howell gets the ball off quickly enough while under pressure to avoid being sacked by Mafe.”

Garrett has 5 daring predictions for Week 10, and you’ll take a look at all of them via clicking right here. 

6. Extra issues: Pete Carroll needs extra fast replay

It’s been a hectic 24 hours in the NFL, and since it is just about not possible to stay observe of the whole lot that came about, I went forward and put in combination a roundup for you. 

• Pete Carroll needs to look all performs matter to check. The Seahawks trainer, who was in opposition to fast replay, now needs the NFL to have the talent to check ANY play that must be reviewed. Carroll had some fascinating feedback about replay this week, and you’ll take a look at them out right here. 
• Tee Higgins dominated out in Week 10. The Bengals receiver (hamstring) will miss Sunday’s game in opposition to the Texans, Zac Taylor showed Friday. Bengals are banged up going into Week 10 with Ja’Marr Chase additionally coping with an harm. They play on Thursday in Week 11, so somebody who misses Sunday’s sport may just additionally finally end up lacking that sport, which is in Baltimore. 
• Jason Pierre-Paul needs to play this 12 months. The two-time Super Bowl winner needs to play this 12 months and he is hoping to signal with a contender. JPP told CBS Sports HQ Senior NFL Insider Josina Anderson that he nonetheless has some gasoline left in the tank, “I feel like I can still make a contender shift now. There are plenty of teams that still need a pass rush.” JPP gained a Super Bowl with the Giants in 2011 and then with the Buccaneers in 2020, and now, he is taking a look to earn a 3rd ring. 
• Former Super Bowl winner dies at 41. Matt Ulrich, who gained a Super Bowl with the Colts sin 2006, passed on to the great beyond this week. Colts proprietor Jim Irsay announced the news on social media. Ulrich’s NFL occupation best lasted two seasons, which each got here with the Colts. He performed in 10 video games over two years and used to be section of the Indy workforce that beat the Bears 29-17 in Super Bowl XLI.