Tuesday, May 7, 2024

Agent’s Take: Does Jonathan Taylor’s new deal with Colts show a shift in recently deflated RB market?



This 12 months has been a difficult one for veteran working backs. There had been 8 who had contracts averaging $12 million in line with 12 months or extra on the finish of the 2022 season. This quantity used to be minimize in part this 12 months because of releases and pay cuts.

The high-priced working again marketplace in any case gained some sudden excellent news on Saturday. After a preseason crammed with acrimony in which a industry used to be asked, the Colts made Jonathan Taylor the league’s 5th working again with a deal averaging no less than $12 million in line with 12 months.

- Advertisement -

Following a four-game absence as a result of being at the Physically Unable to Perform record, Taylor strangely gained a three-year, $42 million contract extension. Taylor’s deal has $26.5 million in promises, of which $19,347,556 is absolutely assured. The 2021 NFL dashing chief used to be making $4.304 million this 12 months with his four-year rookie contract set to run out after the season previous to the new deal.

Taylor is the primary working again to get a large payday since Nick Chubb in 2021 when he used to be going into the general 12 months of his rookie contract. The Browns gave Chubb a three-year, $36.6 million extension, averaging $12.2 million in line with 12 months. The deal had $20 million in total promises the place $17,133,059 used to be absolutely assured.

Chubb’s contract it appears used to be the most important knowledge level for Taylor and the Colts. At $14 million in line with 12 months, Taylor necessarily were given the Chubb deal with some kind of adjustment for wage cap inflation. 

- Advertisement -

Technically, Taylor is the league’s third-highest-paid working again through reasonable annually wage in the back of Christian McCaffrey ($16,015,853 in line with 12 months) and Alvin Kamara ($15 million in line with 12 months). The Kamara contract is a little deceptive, despite the fact that, as a result of he has no likelihood of seeing the $25 million in his 2025 contract 12 months. The deal averages $12.5 million in line with 12 months via 2024, the primary 4 new years.

Taylor believes his contract is a reversal of the commercial downturn with working backs. “I definitely think it is [a shift],” Taylor mentioned after his season debut in a 23-16 win over the Titans. “Anytime a running back can go out there and perform but also have some security, it just shows that running backs are essential.” Taylor is also overestimating the impact his deal could have at the high-end working again marketplace.

The 3 working backs designated as franchise gamers this 12 months enjoying on one-year contracts (Saquon Barkley, Josh Jacobs and Tony Pollard) unquestionably took observe of Taylor’s deal. Barkley has been out since struggling a proper ankle harm throughout a Week 2 contest towards the Cardinals. The harm renews the troubles about Barkley’s sturdiness that experience plagued him throughout his six-year NFL profession. 

- Advertisement -

The Giants’ working recreation is foundering with out him. None of the opposite working backs have had greater than 30 dashing yards in a recreation throughout his absence. The Giants proceeding to appear extra like a contender for the primary total select in the 2024 NFL Draft than the workforce that made the playoffs ultimate season may just affect a determination to make a really extensive long-term funding in the working again.

Jacobs is off to a sluggish get started after lacking lots of the preseason in a contract dispute. He did not signal a one-year deal for $11.791 million, which is $1.7 million above his $10.091 franchise tag, till the latter a part of August. The 2022 first workforce All-Pro is the primary franchise participant in NFL historical past to get a one-year deal with a base price greater than his comfortable. 

Jacobs admitted previous this season he used to be knocking the rust off after his prolonged preseason absence. He has rushed for 235 yards whilst averaging a career-low 2.9 yards in line with raise via 5 video games this season.  

Jacobs is beginning to show indicators of rounding into shape He had a season-high 69 dashing yards (on 20 carries) in Monday evening’s 17-13 win over the Packers. Jacobs had a career-high 81 receiving yards in Week 4’s loss to the Chargers. He’ll most likely have to start out akin to the participant from a outstanding 2022 season in which he led the NFL in each dashing and yards from scrimmage (blended dashing and receiving yards) with 1,653 and a couple of,053 yards, respectively, to be in a place to harvest the take pleasure in Taylor’s deal.

Pollard is getting a chance to exhibit he may also be a workhorse working again after forming arguably the league’s very best working again tandem ultimate season with Ezekiel Elliott, who used to be launched in the offseason. He is on target for profession highs of 275 carries and 1,156 dashing yards. Pollard’s 4.2 yards in line with raise will be the lowest in his 5 NFL seasons.

The Cowboys designating Pollard as a franchise participant once more in 2024 may well be a viable choice with cornerback Trevon Diggs signing a five-year extension, averaging $19.4 million in line with 12 months, in past due July. A moment franchise tag at an NFL Collective Bargaining Agreement mandated 20% carry of Pollard’s present $10.091 million 2023 wage can be $12,109,200. Signing huge receiver CeeDee Lamb and pass-rushing linebacker Micah Parsons to contract extensions subsequent offseason will probably be most sensible priorities.

De’Andre Swift, who used to be got from the Lions throughout the 2023 Draft for a 2025 fifth-round select the place 2023 seventh-round choices had been additionally swapped, has emerged from a preseason pageant because the Eagles’ most sensible working again. The 2020 second-round select is recently fourth in the NFL with 434 dashing yards whilst averaging a career-best 5.7 yards in line with raise.

Unfortunately for Swift, he performs for a workforce hasn’t prioritized making vital investments in ball-carriers. The Eagles had no qualms about letting Miles Sanders depart in unfastened company after a 2022 season the place he had profession highs of one,269 dashing yards and 11 dashing touchdowns, that have been 5th and 8 in the NFL, respectively. The four-year, $25.64 million contract Sanders signed with the Panthers, averaging $6.35 million in line with 12 months the place $13 million used to be absolutely assured, used to be essentially the most profitable working again contract in unfastened company this 12 months. It’s tough to believe Swift becoming a member of Taylor in the unique $12 million in line with 12 months or extra working again membership despite the fact that he stays on target for with reference to 1,500 dashing yards.

One older working again in explicit is most likely going to stand the tough realities of the working again marketplace subsequent offseason after his contract expires. Derrick Henry has been the NFL’s most efficient ball-carrier since signing a four-year, $50 million deal (value a most of $51 million via incentives) with the Titans in 2020 after being designated as a franchise participant. His 4,830 dashing yards because the get started of the 2020 season are 801 greater than the following very best mark through Chubb throughout this span.

It’s going to be too value prohibitive for the Titans to position a franchise tag on Henry subsequent 12 months irrespective of his efficiency this season as a result of he can be getting a 120% broaden over his prior 12 months’s wage (necessarily wage cap quantity with some minor changes). Henry has 2023’s greatest working again cap quantity at $16,370,007. With the best way the 120% salary-increase provisions paintings for the designation, Henry’s 2024 franchise tag can be relatively beneath $19.5 million.

Age and workload are going to be held towards Henry. Barring harm, Henry could have over 2,000 profession carries as soon as the season ends. As a 30-year-old unfastened agent in 2024, Henry can be hard-pressed to get a deal similar to his present $12.5 million-per-year contract as a result of the predicted diminishing returns given his excessive mileage. 

Henry recently ranks eleventh with 328 dashing yards with a career-low 3.8 yards in line with raise. If Henry remains out of doors of the highest 10 in dashing whilst ultimate rather wholesome, it’ll be thought to be as proof of his decline, which could have a unfavorable affect on him financially. 

It’s possible that the following working again to in reality capitalize on Taylor’s deal remains to be on his rookie contract. Breece Hall used to be a main candidate to win the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award earlier than tearing the ACL in his left knee throughout a Week 7 contest ultimate season. He is not appearing any sick results of his knee harm. Hall is 6th in the NFL with 387 dashing yards whilst averaging 7.2 yards in line with raise. His contract cannot be prolonged till after the 2024 common season ends in January 2025.

The Falcons’ Bijan Robinson, the 8th total select in the 2023 NFL Draft, resides as much as his draft place. He is demonstrating his dual-threat features. Robinson’s 21 receptions are tied for the NFL’s second-most amongst working backs. He is tied for 8th in the league with 364 dashing yards. Robinson would possibly not be eligible for his subsequent deal till January 2026.



More articles

- Advertisement -
- Advertisement -

Latest article