Sunday, May 5, 2024

A series of storm systems, chance of a white Christmas

Good Tuesday bloggers,

We are monitoring a series of methods because the sample is about to turn into extra energetic. When you begin speaking about methods in December, you start to suppose extra about ice and snow moderately than rain. Could this result in a “White Christmas?” It is the one time of yr when a majority of folks like snow.

The National Weather Service tweeted this out on Monday as they’re getting “White Christmas” questions.

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Jeff Penner

Let’s undergo the series of storm methods.

SYSTEM #1 (TODAY):
This is a small system and can carry some drizzle to areas principally south of Kansas City. Some of the drizzle could sneak into southern Kansas City. Temperatures will probably be above freezing, so no icing is predicted. Roads could get damp to moist in drizzle areas as rainfall will probably be a hint to .02″.

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Jeff Penner

SYSTEM #2 (THURSDAY):
This will probably be a 100% chance of rain with temperatures within the 40s, presumably 50s. The heaviest rain will happen in the course of the morning adopted by durations of areas if gentle to average rain.

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Jeff Penner

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Any snow or ice will probably be confined to a small space on the northwest facet of the precipitation space in Iowa. The snow will possible weaken because it strikes into Wisconsin.

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Jeff Penner

This second system will carry .25″-.75″ of rainfall which is round 1/3 of the complete December common of 1.57″. There will be heavier totals from Oklahoma and Tennessee. Anywhere it rains on the map below will be beneficial as there is some level of drought in almost all locations. Our drought has dropped from mostly level 2/3 of 5 to levels 1/2 of 5. There is still a small area of 3 of 5 drought around Kansas City.

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Jeff Penner

Our drought is decreasing as a result of we’ve seen nearly as a lot rain since Oct. 24 as we did between July 1 and Oct. 23. Now, that being stated we’re nonetheless over 7″ of rain below average since July 1. So, a series of storm systems is good news.

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Jeff Penner

SYSTEM #3 (NEXT MONDAY-TUESDAY, DECEMBER 13-14):
This is wanting like a fairly large storm system. Right now it appears like we’re on the nice and cozy facet of the storm which suggests a interval or two of rain and maybe thunderstorms. Severe climate is feasible from Oklahoma and Arkansas and factors south and east. We are more likely to cool for extreme climate. A snowstorm is probably going for the northern Plains, maybe to western Nebraska. This storm may observe farther south, however even when it does we’ll possible nonetheless see all rain. .25″-1″ of rain is feasible.

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Jeff Penner

SYSTEM #4 (END OF NEXT WEEK, AROUND DECEMBER 16-20):
Colder air will transfer in after the third storm system. So, this opens the door to snow from the fourth system.

A fifth system is feasible December 22-24. This could possibly be snow as properly. So, we’ve one-two probabilities of snow earlier than Christmas. A “White Christmas” is outlined as having at the least 1″ of snow on the ground. On average we have we have a 10% to 25% chance for a “White Christmas.” This year we are on the high end of that range as of this moment.

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Jeff Penner

Have a nice relaxation of your week and keep wholesome.



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