California: Drought, record heat, fires and now maybe floods

California: Drought, record heat, fires and now maybe floods


LOS ANGELES — Californians sweated it out amid a record-breaking warmth wave coming into its tenth day Friday that has helped gas lethal wildfires and pushed power provides to the brink of every day energy outages.

Relief is in sight because the remnants of a hurricane method that can decrease temperatures throughout the weekend however might carry one other set of challenges: heavy rains that can be welcomed within the drought-plagued state however would possibly trigger flash floods.

Climate change is making the planet hotter, scientists say, and weather-related disasters extra excessive. The warmth that coloured climate maps darkish crimson for greater than every week in California is just a preview of coming sights.

“We’ll see these heat waves continue to get hotter and hotter, longer and longer, more wildfire-plagued,” stated Jonathan Overpeck, dean of the University of Michigan School for Environment and Sustainability.

California is simply the newest casualty in a 12 months of typically lethal warmth waves that started in Pakistan and India this spring and swept throughout elements of the Northern Hemisphere, together with China, Europe and others areas of the U.S.

Climate change additionally has exacerbated droughts, dried up rivers, made wildfires extra intense and — conversely — led to huge flooding across the globe as moisture evaporating from land and water is held within the ambiance and then redeposited by intense rains.

Scientists are reluctant to attribute any particular climate occasion to international warming, however say warmth waves are precisely the kind of modifications that can turn into extra frequent.

The so-called warmth dome that cooked California was caught in place by an distinctive excessive strain area over Greenland, of all locations, that primarily created a meteorological visitors jam, stated Paul Ullrich, a professor of regional local weather modeling on the University of California, Davis. That prevented the high-pressure system that was forcing scorching air over California from transferring alongside.

Temperatures hit an all-time excessive in Sacramento of 116 levels (46.7 C) on Tuesday. Many different places hit record highs for September and much more set every day excessive marks.

In the Seventies, Sacramento, the state capital, had 5 “excessive warmth” days per year, Ullrich said. Today, it has about 10 and that will double again by the middle of the century.

“That’s pretty much going to be the story for much of the Central Valley and much of Southern California,” Ullrich said. “This kind of exponential growth in the number of extreme heat days. If you tie those all together, then you end up with heat waves like we’ve experienced.”

For nine days through Thursday, the vast energy network that includes power plants, solar farms and a web of transmission lines strained under record-setting demand driven by air conditioners.

“If we’re going to build a statue to anybody in the West, it will be a Willis Carrier,” said Bill Patzert, retired climatologist at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, about the inventor of the air conditioner. “Really large areas of Southern California would essentially be unlivable without air conditioning.”

Air conditioning puts the biggest strain on power sources during a heat wave and operators of the electrical grid called for conservation and warned of the threat of power outages as usage hit an all-time high Tuesday, surpassing a record set in 2006.

The state may have averted a repeat of rolling outages two summers ago by sending a first-ever text alert that blared on 27 million phones urging Californians to “take action” and turn off nonessential power. Enough turned up thermostats, turned off lights or pulled the plug on appliances to avoid power cuts, though thousands of customers did lose power at various times for other reasons.

The West is in the throes of a 23-year megadrought that has nearly drained reservoirs and put water supplies in jeopardy. That, in turn, led to a sharp decrease in hydropower that California relies on when power is in peak demand.

“Part of the country that’s getting hit worst is the Southwest and Western United States,” Overpeck said. “It is a global poster child for the climate crisis. And this year, this summer, it’s really the Northern Hemisphere has been just an unusually hot and wildfire plagued hemisphere.”

The excessive warmth helped gas lethal wildfires at each ends of the state as flames consumed grass, brush and timber already “preconditioned to burn” by drought and then pushed over the edge by the heatwave, Overpeck said.

Firefighters struggled to control major wildfires in Southern California and the Sierra Nevada that exploded in growth, forced thousands to evacuate and produced smoke that could interfere with solar power and further hamper electricity supplies.

Two people were killed in the fire that erupted last Friday in the Northern California community of Weed at the base of Mount Shasta. Two others died trying to flee in their car from a fire in Riverside County that was threatening 18,000 homes.

What remains of Hurricane Kay, now downgraded to a tropical storm, is expected to bring heavy rains and even flash floods to Southern California from Friday night through Saturday. Strong winds could initially make it difficult and dangerous for firefighters trying to corral blazes, Patzert said.

Heavy downpours could also unleash mudslides on mountainsides charred by recent fires. While several inches of rain could fall, much of it will run off the arid landscape and will not make a dent in the drought.

“It comes at you like a firehose and you’re trying to fill your champagne glass,” Patzert said. “Everybody’s sort of excited, but on Saturday night a lot of people will be saying, ‘Yeah, we could have done without that.’”



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