Tuesday, December 6, 2022

March Madness scores and live updates

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It’s St. Patrick’s Day, so naturally, the so-called “luckiest team in the country” can be taking the court docket in its NCAA event opener.

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That can be Providence, the No. 4 seed within the Midwest Region, which squares off in opposition to Thirteenth-seeded South Dakota State at 12:40 p.m. Eastern on truTV. The Friars are a preferred choose to undergo a first-round upset loss partly as a result of they rank No. 1 within the luck metric developed by stats guru Ken Pomeroy (a 27-point loss to Creighton within the Big East event additionally contributed to their rep).

Pomeroy says a group’s luck ranking derives from “the deviation in winning percentage between a team’s actual record and their expected record using the correlated gaussian method.” In different phrases, a group is taken into account fortunate when its successful share is lots higher than its underlying statistics say it ought to be.

The Friars (25-5) have a .833 successful share, however their stats recommend a group that ought to be about .194 worse, or round 19-11, per Pomeroy’s calculations. Providence ranks solely thirty second nationally in Pomeroy’s offensive effectivity metric and eightieth in defensive effectivity, and they’ve gone 15-2 in single-digit video games and 11-2 in sport determined by 5 factors or much less.

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In different phrases, they’ve received quite a lot of video games that might have simply been losses, had a couple of bounces gone in opposition to them.

Providence Coach Ed Cooley says the group is utilizing all of this luck discuss as motivation.

“I don’t think there’s a person in America that has given us a chance in this game we’re about to play — not one person,” he instructed reporters this week. “Some of you are in this audience, and I can tell you — thank you.”

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For what it’s value, South Dakota State ranks 14th out of 68 NCAA event groups in luck. The Jackrabbits are 30-4 (. 882), however their statistics recommend a group that’s extra like 28-6 (. 824)



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