Democrats have been narrowing the hole in lots of of these races over the previous 24 hours. The Associated Press referred to as seven new congressional races on Friday and three on Saturday — all for Democrats. That included a seat in southwest Washington State that POLITICO’s Election Forecast had rated “Lean Republican” and the place Republicans did not mount a robust protection after their incumbent misplaced in a major to a Trump-backed challenger.
The steadiness of energy in the House at the moment stands at 211 Republicans and 203 Democrats — however, functionally, it’s extra intently divided. The checklist of uncalled races contains one California contest the place each general-election candidates are Democrats. And allocating the roughly dozen races the place one celebration is considerably favored — however the place The AP hasn’t made a name — provides six extra seats to the Democratic Party’s tally, and 4 races to Republicans’.
That would put Republicans at 215 seats, simply three seats away from the majority, whereas Democrats can be six seats quick. But with 10 seats unsure — six with Republicans main, and 4 the place Democrats are forward — each events nonetheless have a shot, although the GOP remains to be favored.
Here is a district-by-district breakdown of the uncalled races as of Saturday afternoon, and what could occur subsequent:
UP-FOR-GRAB RACES — 10 TOTAL, WITH GOP LEADING 6-4
Arizona-01 (Pre-Nov. 8 POLITICO Election Forecast ranking: Lean Republican): GOP Rep. David Schweikert is trailing Democrat Jevin Hodge by round 2,500 votes.That’s after Schweikert made features late Saturday in Maricopa County, which incorporates the total district. He’ll want the state’s pattern towards a “red shift” later in the depend to proceed.
Arizona-06 (Lean Republican): Republican Juan Ciscomani holds solely a slender lead over Democrat Kirsten Engel — about 1,400 votes — in a race that has narrowed considerably since Election Day, together with on Saturday, when Engel halved her raw-vote deficit. It’s not clear whether or not the remaining votes in Pima County (Tucson) will assist Engel shut the hole fully.
California-13 (Lean Republican): This one appears like a nail-biter: Republican John Duarte leads Democrat Adam Gray by 84 votes as of Saturday afternoon, with solely 61 p.c of the ballots tallied, in response to The Associated Press.
California-22 (Toss Up): Is it déjà vu for Rep. David Valadao? The California Republican was thus far forward of his Democratic opponent on election night time in 2018 that The AP declared him the winner — solely to retract the name when Valadao fell behind weeks later. This time, Valadao (who finally returned to Congress after successful in 2020) leads Democrat Rudy Salas by 5 factors, however that’s already down from 8 factors on Tuesday night time.
California-41 (Lean Republican): GOP Rep. Ken Calvert leads Democrat Will Rollins by about 2,100 votes in the Inland Empire, however it’s not clear how the late-counted ballots will break.
California-47 (Lean Democratic): Democratic Rep. Katie Porter leads Republican Scott Baugh by 3 proportion factors, as late-arriving ballots in Orange County have helped prolong what was an especially slender lead on Election Day.
California-49 (Toss Up): Democratic Rep. Mike Levin has opened up a 5-point lead over Republican Brian Maryott in a race that’s near transferring into the Democrats’ column.
Colorado-03 (Likely Republican): GOP Rep. Lauren Boebert is up by about 1,100 votes over Democrat Adam Frisch. Frisch must eat into Boebert’s benefit in the ultimate ballots to have a shot to surpass her in the possible recount, which is able to happen if the two candidates end inside half a proportion level of one another (Boebert at the moment leads by 0.4 factors).
New York-22 (Toss Up): Republican Brandon Williams is sort of 4,000 votes forward of Democrat Francis Conole, who’s hoping that still-to-be-counted absentee ballots in Syracuse are sufficient to push him over the high.
Oregon-06 (Toss Up): Democrat Andrea Salinas is 4,000 votes forward of Republican Mike Erickson, with 79 p.c of precincts reporting.